![]() ![]() DVOA is demonstrably more accurate at explaining past performance and predicting future success.īettors can use DVOA to see how a game might play out and whether teams will extend or lose a lead if they have one. Why should bettors use DVOA?īecause every team plays a unique schedule varying vastly in difficulty, DVOA is arguably the best at-a-glance way to see how good teams genuinely are. DVOA measures the value of a team, unit, or player compared to the league average, appearing as a positive or negative percent (for example, -15 percent DVOA means 15 percent worse than league average). ![]() Route participation and yards per route runĭefense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) What is DVOA?ĭVOA by Football Outsiders analyzes the “success” of each play while contextualizing the situation (down and distance, field location, score, quarter, time, and opponent quality). ![]()
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